World Cup 2026 • Round of 32

Mexico

Home

2 - 0

Ecuador

Away

Wed 1 Jul, 2026

Prediction correct

Match Recap

Mexico advances past Ecuador with commanding knockout display

Mexico beat Ecuador 2-0 at home in their World Cup round of 32 clash to secure a place in the next round.

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Match Events

22' J. Quiñones (R. Alvarado) Mexico

31' R. Jiménez (J. Quiñones) Mexico

45' Ecuador A. Franco

46' Ecuador A. Franco → Y. Medina

46' Ecuador J. Ordóñez → Á. Preciado

58' G. Mora → B. Gutiérrez Mexico

59' Ecuador E. Valencia → K. Rodríguez

73' L. Romo → O. Vargas Mexico

74' R. Jiménez → S. Giménez Mexico

79' Ecuador N. Angulo → K. Páez

79' Ecuador J. Yeboah → J. Caicedo

80' R. Alvarado → I. Reyes Mexico

80' J. Quiñones → O. Pineda Mexico

90' Ecuador M. Caicedo

90' Ecuador P. Hincapié

90' Ecuador K. Páez

Match Statistics

Mexico Ecuador

43% Possession 57%

15 Total Shots 7

3 Shots on Target 1

9 Shots off Target 5

10 Shots Inside Box 5

5 Shots Outside Box 2

2 Big Chances 1

3 Corner Kicks 8

10 Fouls 14

0 Offsides 1

0 Yellow Cards 3

319 Passes 407

249 Accurate Passes 340

78.1% Pass Accuracy 83.5%

10 Tackles 11

7 Interceptions 5

1 Expected Goals (xG) 0

Lineups Predicted

Mexico

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

1R. Rangel 20J. Gallardo 25E. López 6J. Gómez 37R. Ledezma 11B. Gutiérrez 15Á. Fidalgo 14M. Ruíz 19C. Rodríguez 11E. Álvarez 19G. Berterame

Substitutes

6E. Lira 25R. Alvarado 22J. Vásquez 3I. Reyes 35J. Sánchez 33J. Quiñones 7L. Romo 23C. Montes 7R. Jiménez 15M. Chávez 9A. Vega 1C. Acevedo 19G. Mora 9G. Martínez 24L. Chávez 21O. Vargas 34A. González 13O. Pineda 20A. Gutiérrez 28E. Sánchez 7S. Giménez 13G. Ochoa 10K. Castañeda 31E. Águila 21C. Huerta 10E. Alvarez 29R. Juárez 12I. Violante 5D. Garcia 3L. G. Rey 16D. Lainez 27J. Angulo 4V. Guzmán 5B. González 18A. Dominguez 27Á. Padilla 2A. Rodríguez 25C. Moreno 28E. Montiel 16J. Márquez 10J. R. Angulo 33J. Carrillo 11J. Ruvalcaba 22J. Araujo

Ecuador

4-4-2

Starting XI

1H. Galíndez 51W. Pacho 5P. Hincapié 4J. Ordóñez 4F. Torres 45P. Vite 25M. Caicedo 21A. Franco 2P. Estupiñán 10J. Yeboah 10E. Valencia

Substitutes

10N. Angulo 14A. Valencia 12J. Porozo 23Á. Preciado 13K. Rodríguez 1G. Valle 21D. Castillo 6J. Alcivar 19K. Páez 19Y. Medina 27A. Minda 9J. Caicedo 99M. Ramírez 32J. Arévalo

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Mexico win - 55.5%

Mexico Win55.5%

Draw21.2%

Ecuador Win23.3%

BTTS: No65.1%

Under 2.572.8%

The model leans toward Mexico win at 55.5%. Mexico have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Ecuador have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No and under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score1 - 0

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