UEFA Nations League • League D, Group 2

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction

Home

1 - 0

Lithuania

Away

Neftçi Arena, Baku Sun 4 Oct, 2026

Prediction correct

Match Recap

Khaybulaev Secures Azerbaijan Victory Over Lithuania

Azerbaijan beat Lithuania 1-0 at home in a UEFA Nations League group stage match, with A. Khaybulaev scoring in the first half.

Read the full recap

Match Events

25' A. Khaybulaev (T. Bayramov) Azerbaijan

33' A. Khaybulaev Azerbaijan

43' Lithuania M. Vorobjovas

46' Lithuania E. Utkus → K. Kazukolovas

46' Lithuania M. Vorobjovas → L. Michelbrink

46' T. Bayramov → V. İsgändärli Azerbaijan

51' A. Abbasov (Manager) Azerbaijan

54' Lithuania A. Dolznikov

57' V. İsgändärli Azerbaijan

64' O. Mammadov → E. Safarov Azerbaijan

64' A. Khaybulaev → R. Dadaşov Azerbaijan

67' Lithuania A. Lickunas → M. Burba

68' Lithuania V. Slivka → E. Jankauskas

80' A. Isayev → C. Nuriyev Azerbaijan

83' Lithuania R. Lekiatas → I. Venckus

88' T. Mutallimov → E. Badalov Azerbaijan

90' Lithuania A. Kučys

90' Lithuania E. Jankauskas

90' E. Badalov Azerbaijan

Match Statistics

Azerbaijan Lithuania

38% Possession 62%

13 Total Shots 13

7 Shots on Target 3

4 Shots off Target 4

6 Shots Inside Box 7

7 Shots Outside Box 6

2 Big Chances 1

2 Corner Kicks 5

14 Fouls 9

1 Offsides 1

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

326 Passes 519

221 Accurate Passes 406

67.8% Pass Accuracy 78.2%

26 Tackles 18

15 Interceptions 15

1 Expected Goals (xG) 1

Shot Map

Azerbaijan

Lithuania

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Azerbaijan 1 - 0 Lithuania — Full Highlights

Lineups Confirmed

Azerbaijan

3-4-3

Starting XI

1E. Balayev 4R. Mammadov 15B. Huseynov 2R. Dashdamirov 19T. Mutallimov 6A. Khaybulaev 20A. Isayev 3R. Abbasov 7T. Bayramov 10M. Emreli 18O. Mammadov

Substitutes

12A. Bayramov 23R. Mirzammadov 5A. Kryvotsiuk 14E. Badalov 8E. Mahmudov 11A. Nuriev 13E. Safarov 16C. Nuriyev 17V. İsgändärli 21R. Abdullazada 9R. Dadaşov 22M. Qurbanlı

Lithuania

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

12T. Švedkauskas 18V. Armalas 3E. Utkus 20R. Lekiatas 21A. Lickunas 6M. Vorobjovas 15G. Gineitis 13J. Lasickas 14V. Slivka 7A. Dolznikov 10A. Kučys

Substitutes

1L. Paukštė 23D. Bartkus 2A. Tutyškinas 5K. Kazukolovas 17D. Malžinskas 4F. Steponavičius 8D. Šluta 11E. Jankauskas 16L. Michelbrink 9M. Ruzgis 19I. Venckus 22M. Burba

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 66.5%

Azerbaijan Win31.7%

Draw32.2%

Lithuania Win36.2%

BTTS: No58.1%

Under 2.566.5%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 66.5%. Azerbaijan have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Lithuania have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No.

Predicted Score0 - 0

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Azerbaijan Wins

Draws

Lithuania Wins

3 meetings • Goals: 2 - 1

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
04 Oct 2026	W	1 - 0	L	UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	D	1 - 1	D	UEFA Nations League
25 Mar 2019	D	0 - 0	D	UEFA Nations League

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