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Statizio
Matches Recaps
Brasileirão Serie A
Home
1 - 0
FT
Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador Thu 16 Jul, 2026
Prediction correct
Match Recap

Vitória edges past Vasco in tight Serie A contest

Vitória claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Vasco da Gama at home in Brasileirão action on Wednesday, extending their unbeaten run.

Read the full recap
Match Events
39' Z. Vitor → T. Pochettino Vitória
59' Vasco da Gama J. Rojas → A. Gómez
59' Vasco da Gama C. Spinelli → Brenner
63' Renê → R. Kayzer Vitória
69' R. Kayzer (D. Tarzia) Vitória
73' Vasco da Gama Adson → M. Hinestroza
77' Erick → Marinho Vitória
78' Vasco da Gama N. Moreira → David
78' Vasco da Gama T. Mendes → Tchê Tchê
78' Jamerson → E. Brítez Vitória
78' D. Tarzia → F. Santos Vitória
Match Statistics
Vitória Vasco da Gama
50% Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Shots off Target 6
8 Shots Inside Box 7
6 Shots Outside Box 6
1 Big Chances 2
3 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
385 Passes 394
298 Accurate Passes 326
77.4% Pass Accuracy 82.7%
24 Tackles 15
11 Interceptions 7
0 Expected Goals (xG) 0
Shot Map

Vitória

Miss — 0.02 xG, 17'Save — 0.10 xG, 19'Save — 0.02 xG, 26'Block — 0.02 xG, 37'Miss — 0.02 xG, 39'Miss — 0.08 xG, 44'Block — 0.03 xG, 45'Save — 0.02 xG, 45'Miss — 0.03 xG, 51'Block — 0.01 xG, 55'Goal — 0.12 xG, 69'Save — 0.01 xG, 69'Save — 0.03 xG, 83'Block — 0.02 xG, 89'

Vasco da Gama

Miss — 0.02 xG, 6'Block — 0.03 xG, 6'Block — 0.03 xG, 17'Save — 0.02 xG, 30'Block — 0.03 xG, 30'Block — 0.03 xG, 49'Miss — 0.08 xG, 52'Miss — 0.07 xG, 61'Miss — 0.24 xG, 66'Save — 0.02 xG, 67'Miss — 0.08 xG, 71'Save — 0.09 xG, 78'Miss — 0.03 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights
Lineups Confirmed

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 63.5%
Vitória Win48.5%
Draw27.0%
Vasco da Gama Win24.5%
BTTS: Yes57.4%
Over 2.563.5%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 63.5%. Vitória have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Vasco da Gama have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 1
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
2
Vitória Wins
0
Draws
3
Vasco da Gama Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 6 - 8
Date Home Score Away Competition
03 Sep 2026 L 0 - 2 W Copa do Brasil
27 Aug 2026 L 0 - 1 W Copa do Brasil
16 Jul 2026 W 1 - 0 L Brasileirão Serie A
05 Oct 2025 L 3 - 4 W Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2025 W 2 - 1 L Brasileirão Serie A
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Bet on this match

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
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