Categoría Primera A • league-phase

Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín Prediction

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2 - 1

Independiente Medellín

Away

Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin Sun 25 Oct, 2026

Prediction correct Score correct

Match Events

20' Independiente Medellín H. Loboa

29' Independiente Medellín A. Simarra (C. Lucumi Gonzalez)

32' E. Cardona Atlético Nacional

41' Independiente Medellín L. Escorcia

45' Independiente Medellín D. Moreno

53' E. Cardona (E. Cabrera) Atlético Nacional

56' M. Uribe → A. Sarmiento Atlético Nacional

58' Independiente Medellín C. Lucumi Gonzalez → J. Medina

62' N. Parra → C. Haydar Atlético Nacional

65' Independiente Medellín Y. González → B. Perlaza

65' Independiente Medellín F. Fabra → G. Mancilla

73' A. Sarmiento (S. Velásquez) Atlético Nacional

77' A. Román → X. Rios Atlético Nacional

77' Independiente Medellín H. Loboa → K. Mantilla

77' J. Rodríguez → N. Rodríguez Atlético Nacional

77' Independiente Medellín D. Moreno → D. Moreno

77' E. Cardona → A. Morelos Atlético Nacional

Match Statistics

Atlético Nacional Independiente Medellín

59% Possession 41%

8 Total Shots 13

5 Shots on Target 3

2 Shots off Target 3

5 Shots Inside Box 8

3 Shots Outside Box 5

2 Big Chances 3

3 Corner Kicks 8

11 Fouls 15

2 Offsides 4

1 Yellow Cards 3

421 Passes 281

352 Accurate Passes 220

83.6% Pass Accuracy 78.3%

18 Tackles 13

7 Interceptions 9

1 Expected Goals (xG) 1

Shot Map

Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Atl. Nacional 0 - 1 Ind. Medellín — 29' Alfonso Simarra

Lineups Confirmed

Atlético Nacional

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

34F. Armani 6A. Román 3N. Parra 4C. Haydar 20M. Casco 8M. Uribe 80J. Zapata 22E. Cabrera 23J. Rodríguez 19J. M. Rengifo 9A. Morelos

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1S. Ichazo 30H. Palacios 39L. Escorcia 5J. Varela 26E. Mena 18F. Fabra 6D. Moreno 11Y. González 21A. Martegani 16H. Loboa 20J. E. Montaño

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 57.7%

Atlético Nacional Win51.5%

Draw27.6%

Independiente Medellín Win21.0%

BTTS: Yes54.5%

Over 2.557.7%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 57.7%. Atlético Nacional have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Independiente Medellín have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 1

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Atlético Nacional Wins

Draws

Independiente Medellín Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 9 - 5

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
25 Oct 2026	W	2 - 1	L	Categoría Primera A
15 Oct 2026	W	3 - 2	L	Categoría Primera A
12 Apr 2026	W	3 - 2	L	Categoría Primera A
18 Dec 2025	W	1 - 0	L	Categoría Primera A
13 Dec 2025	D	0 - 0	D	Categoría Primera A

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