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Prediction correct
Match Recap

Medellin Edges Pasto in Thrilling Five-Goal Contest

Independiente Medellín claimed a 3-2 home victory over Deportivo Pasto in an entertaining Categoría Primera A clash that kept fans on edge throughout.

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Match Events
4' J. Mena (H. Palacios) Independiente Medellín
7' Deportivo Pasto M. Garavito
30' Deportivo Pasto S. Córdoba (H. Goyes)
33' J. Varela Independiente Medellín
35' Deportivo Pasto D. Chávez
36' H. Palacios Independiente Medellín
44' Deportivo Pasto J. Micolta (D. Chávez)
46' Deportivo Pasto G. Banguera E. Cabezas
46' Deportivo Pasto M. Garavito S. Jiménez
48' Deportivo Pasto E. Serje
59' H. Palacios J. Córdoba Independiente Medellín
59' H. Loboa A. Martegani Independiente Medellín
64' Deportivo Pasto J. Micolta M. Pisano
64' Deportivo Pasto M. Gil J. Méndez
65' J. E. Montaño Independiente Medellín
72' Deportivo Pasto S. Jiménez
77' D. Cataño B. Perlaza Independiente Medellín
79' B. Perlaza Independiente Medellín
80' Deportivo Pasto H. Mancilla J. Obregón
90' A. Martegani Independiente Medellín
90' J. E. Montaño K. Klinger Independiente Medellín
Match Statistics
Independiente Medellín Deportivo Pasto
44% Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Shots off Target 6
5 Shots Inside Box 6
3 Shots Outside Box 6
3 Big Chances 0
4 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
346 Passes 428
274 Accurate Passes 364
79.2% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Tackles 9
5 Interceptions 10
Shot Map

Independiente Medellín

Block — 0.07 xG, 4'Goal — 0.27 xG, 4'Miss — 0.05 xG, 16'Goal — 0.70 xG, 36'Miss — 0.02 xG, 59'Goal — 0.12 xG, 65'Miss — 0.02 xG, 84'Block — 0.07 xG, 90'

Deportivo Pasto

Save — 0.02 xG, 1'Miss — 0.04 xG, 23'Block — 0.04 xG, 29'Goal — 0.20 xG, 30'Miss — 0.02 xG, 41'Goal — 0.03 xG, 44'Block — 0.02 xG, 55'Save — 0.01 xG, 58'Miss — 0.03 xG, 77'Miss — 0.07 xG, 78'Miss — 0.05 xG, 81'Miss — 0.04 xG, 86'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 56.4%
Independiente Medellín Win44.8%
Draw26.0%
Deportivo Pasto Win29.3%
BTTS: Yes56.4%
Over 2.552.9%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 56.4%. Independiente Medellín have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Deportivo Pasto have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score1 - 0
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
4
Independiente Medellín Wins
0
Draws
1
Deportivo Pasto Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 9 - 4
Date Home Score Away Competition
10 Sep 2026 W 4 - 1 L Copa Colombia
25 Jul 2026 W 3 - 2 L Categoría Primera A
18 Jan 2026 L 0 - 1 W Categoría Primera A
04 Mar 2025 W 1 - 0 L Copa Colombia
01 Mar 2024 W 1 - 0 L Copa Colombia
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