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Statizio
Categoría Primera A
2 - 3
FT
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague Tue 4 Aug, 2026
Prediction incorrect
Match Events
1' Independiente Medellín D. Cataño
16' Independiente Medellín J. E. Montaño (Y. González)
34' Independiente Medellín D. Cataño → J. Córdoba
41' H. Martinez Deportes Tolima
47' Independiente Medellín J. Medina
56' S. Guzmán (Pen) Deportes Tolima
57' Independiente Medellín J. Córdoba (J. E. Montaño)
60' Independiente Medellín J. Varela
63' Independiente Medellín Y. González → A. Simarra
65' C. Arrieta → E. Valencia Deportes Tolima
65' H. Martinez → L. Sánchez Deportes Tolima
65' J. Mosquera → K. Florez Deportes Tolima
66' A. Parra → J. Hernández Deportes Tolima
73' J. Hurtado → J. Valencia Deportes Tolima
73' Independiente Medellín A. Martegani → B. Perlaza
73' Independiente Medellín J. E. Montaño → H. Palacios
77' S. Guzmán Deportes Tolima
84' J. Hernández (E. Valencia) Deportes Tolima
90' Independiente Medellín B. Perlaza
Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima Independiente Medellín
66% Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Shots off Target 5
13 Shots Inside Box 8
9 Shots Outside Box 6
2 Big Chances 1
9 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
524 Passes 267
449 Accurate Passes 194
85.7% Pass Accuracy 72.7%
14 Tackles 14
9 Interceptions 13
2 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Deportes Tolima

Save — 0.01 xG, 4'Miss — 0.07 xG, 11'Save — 0.01 xG, 14'Miss — 0.10 xG, 32'Block — 0.09 xG, 36'Miss — 0.24 xG, 44'Goal — 0.79 xG, 56'Miss — 0.02 xG, 64'Save — 0.23 xG, 68'Save — 0.06 xG, 68'Block — 0.02 xG, 69'Miss — 0.12 xG, 72'Save — 0.02 xG, 72'Miss — 0.07 xG, 75'Save — 0.05 xG, 79'Goal — 0.36 xG, 84'Save — 0.08 xG, 85'Save — 0.12 xG, 89'Save — 0.05 xG, 89'Block — 0.12 xG, 90'Block — 0.02 xG, 90'Miss — 0.06 xG, 90'

Independiente Medellín

Goal — 0.02 xG, 1'Goal — 0.08 xG, 16'Miss — 0.02 xG, 29'Block — 0.02 xG, 43'Miss — 0.02 xG, 43'Save — 0.01 xG, 45'Miss — 0.22 xG, 49'Save — 0.09 xG, 51'Block — 0.03 xG, 53'Block — 0.08 xG, 54'Goal — 0.77 xG, 57'Block — 0.12 xG, 59'Miss — 0.03 xG, 71'Miss — 0.03 xG, 78'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Lineups Confirmed

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 53.7%
Deportes Tolima Win40.5%
Draw30.1%
Independiente Medellín Win29.4%
BTTS: Yes52.6%
Under 2.553.7%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 53.7%. Deportes Tolima have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Independiente Medellín have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score1 - 0
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
0
Deportes Tolima Wins
1
Draws
1
Independiente Medellín Wins
2 meetings • Goals: 4 - 5
Date Home Score Away Competition
04 Aug 2026 L 2 - 3 W Categoría Primera A
28 Jan 2026 D 2 - 2 D Categoría Primera A
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Bet on this match

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
2.38--Bet
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