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Prediction correct
Match Recap

Toney fires Al-Ahli to rout as Abha crumbles at home

Ivan Toney scored three times to fire Al-Ahli to a comprehensive 4-0 victory over visiting Abha in the Saudi Pro League on Friday evening.

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Match Events
5' I. Toney (E. Spertsyan) Al-Ahli
13' I. Toney (Pen) Al-Ahli
41' E. Spertsyan Al-Ahli
46' Z. Hawsawi → S. Y. Balobaid Al-Ahli
51' F. Trincão Al-Ahli
57' I. Toney (F. Trincão) Al-Ahli
66' Abha L. Rosier → M. Al-Zaid
66' W. Galeno → M. A. Mutairi Al-Ahli
66' I. Toney → F. Al-Buraikan Al-Ahli
66' E. Spertsyan → S. Aboulshamat Al-Ahli
67' Abha A. Hindi → N. Fekir
81' Z. Aljohani Al-Ahli
84' V. A. Edoa → N. Masoud Al-Ahli
86' Abha N. Fekir
90' Abha F. Al-Sibyani
Match Statistics
Al-Ahli Abha
50% Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Shots off Target 5
11 Shots Inside Box 10
5 Shots Outside Box 2
6 Big Chances 4
2 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
428 Passes 412
370 Accurate Passes 360
86.4% Pass Accuracy 87.4%
25 Tackles 17
11 Interceptions 7
2 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Al-Ahli

Goal — 0.53 xG, 5'Miss — 0.03 xG, 8'Goal — 0.79 xG, 13'Miss — 0.03 xG, 23'Block — 0.03 xG, 34'Save — 0.06 xG, 40'Miss — 0.46 xG, 45'Miss — 0.01 xG, 45'Miss — 0.06 xG, 46'Miss — 0.02 xG, 50'Goal — 0.02 xG, 51'Goal — 0.14 xG, 57'Miss — 0.03 xG, 60'Save — 0.04 xG, 63'Save — 0.35 xG, 80'Miss — 0.18 xG, 90'

Abha

Save — 0.30 xG, 28'Block — 0.01 xG, 28'Miss — 0.31 xG, 31'Miss — 0.04 xG, 36'Save — 0.13 xG, 44'Block — 0.05 xG, 45'Save — 0.01 xG, 61'Miss — 0.12 xG, 65'Block — 0.08 xG, 73'Miss — 0.07 xG, 79'Block — 0.04 xG, 83'Miss — 0.09 xG, 83'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Al-Ahli win - 59.4%
Al-Ahli Win59.4%
Draw16.4%
Abha Win24.2%
BTTS: No55.9%
Over 2.566.2%

The model leans toward Al-Ahli win at 59.4%. Al-Ahli have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Abha have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No and over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score2 - 0
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
3
Al-Ahli Wins
1
Draws
1
Abha Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 16 - 4
Date Home Score Away Competition
22 Aug 2026 W 4 - 0 L Saudi Pro League
18 May 2024 W 5 - 1 L Saudi Pro League
30 Nov 2023 W 6 - 0 L Saudi Pro League
22 May 2022 D 1 - 1 D Saudi Pro League
21 Nov 2021 L 0 - 2 W Saudi Pro League
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