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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Chelsea edge Brighton in seven-goal thriller

Chelsea beat Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 at home in an entertaining match that saw both sides trade goals throughout the afternoon.

Read the full recap
Match Events
4' R. Lavia Chelsea
14' P. Neto (M. Rogers) Chelsea
32' J. Pedro (J. Hato) Chelsea
35' Brighton & Hove Albion M. Yalcouyé
55' W. Fofana Chelsea
63' Brighton & Hove Albion J. Pedro (OG)
68' P. Neto → M. Caicedo Chelsea
68' W. Fofana → J. Acheampong Chelsea
68' R. Lavia → R. James Chelsea
70' Brighton & Hove Albion L. Dunk
72' L. Colwill → P. Chavarría Chelsea
74' C. Palmer (J. Pedro) Chelsea
74' Brighton & Hove Albion M. Yalcouyé → I. Osman
80' Brighton & Hove Albion M. Wieffer → Costinha
80' Brighton & Hove Albion C. Kostoulas → P. David
82' M. Caicedo → V. Barco Chelsea
89' Brighton & Hove Albion O. Boscagli
90' Brighton & Hove Albion P. Groß
90' Brighton & Hove Albion Costinha
Match Statistics
Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion
26% Possession 74%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Shots off Target 8
15 Shots Inside Box 13
2 Shots Outside Box 2
6 Big Chances 5
4 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
227 Passes 647
155 Accurate Passes 567
68.3% Pass Accuracy 87.6%
12 Tackles 9
9 Interceptions 5
2 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Chelsea

Save — 0.19 xG, 4'Goal — 0.54 xG, 4'Goal — 0.31 xG, 14'Miss — 0.40 xG, 25'Goal — 0.46 xG, 32'Block — 0.02 xG, 34'Block — 0.04 xG, 41'Block — 0.03 xG, 41'Miss — 0.03 xG, 42'Block — 0.13 xG, 49'Block — 0.07 xG, 57'Save — 0.09 xG, 58'Miss — 0.51 xG, 58'Miss — 0.02 xG, 71'Block — 0.12 xG, 72'Goal — 0.06 xG, 74'Miss — 0.04 xG, 86'

Brighton & Hove Albion

Block — 0.03 xG, 24'Save — 0.34 xG, 29'Goal — 0.45 xG, 35'Save — 0.17 xG, 35'Miss — 0.13 xG, 45'Miss — 0.02 xG, 45'Miss — 0.07 xG, 54'Miss — 0.10 xG, 56'Miss — 0.02 xG, 60'Save — 0.04 xG, 62'Goal — 0.06 xG, 63'Miss — 0.06 xG, 65'Save — 0.05 xG, 69'Miss — 0.04 xG, 77'Miss — 0.02 xG, 90'Goal — 0.04 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 57.9%
Chelsea Win37.5%
Draw23.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win39.2%
BTTS: Yes57.9%
Over 2.552.5%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 57.9%. Chelsea have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Brighton & Hove Albion have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score1 - 2
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
1
Chelsea Wins
0
Draws
4
Brighton & Hove Albion Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 6 - 14
Date Home Score Away Competition
30 Aug 2026 W 4 - 3 L Premier League
21 Apr 2026 L 0 - 3 W Premier League
27 Sep 2025 L 1 - 3 W Premier League
14 Feb 2025 L 0 - 3 W Premier League
08 Feb 2025 L 1 - 2 W Premier League
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Bet on this match

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
1.864.174.21Bet
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