Championship • regular-season

Derby County vs Birmingham City Prediction

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Birmingham City

Away

Pride Park Stadium, Derby Sat 12 Sep, 2026

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Match Recap

Birmingham City wins at Derby County in Championship clash

Birmingham City won 1-2 away at Derby County on 12 September, with S. Paik's second-half goal securing the victory in the Championship.

Read the full recap

Match Events

19' M. Fuseini Derby County

21' Birmingham City A. Cochrane

40' B. Clark (S. Szmodics) Derby County

42' Birmingham City C. Vicente (L. Millar)

44' Birmingham City A. Priske

54' H. W. Meister → O. Fraulo Derby County

60' Birmingham City J. Solís → S. Paik

63' Birmingham City S. Paik (L. Millar)

73' Birmingham City L. Millar → E. Laird

73' Birmingham City A. Priske → L. Vázquez

85' E. J. Cashin → R. Hedges Derby County

85' D. Ozoh → C. Taylor Derby County

90' Birmingham City C. Vicente → D. Fry

90' Birmingham City J. Stansfield → K. Lund

90' C. Taylor → L. Salvesen Derby County

90' Birmingham City C. Vicente

Match Statistics

Derby County Birmingham City

60% Possession 40%

18 Total Shots 19

4 Shots on Target 9

7 Shots off Target 8

10 Shots Inside Box 14

8 Shots Outside Box 5

3 Big Chances 5

10 Corner Kicks 4

8 Fouls 12

4 Offsides 1

1 Yellow Cards 3

382 Passes 275

289 Accurate Passes 183

75.7% Pass Accuracy 66.5%

15 Tackles 15

6 Interceptions 3

1 Expected Goals (xG) 3

Shot Map

Derby County

Birmingham City

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham — Full Highlights

Lineups Confirmed

Derby County

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1J. W. Zetterström 23J. Ward 6S. K. Langås 44E. J. Cashin 18C. Taylor 4D. Ozoh 20A. Mowatt 33C. Taylor 8B. Clark 16M. Fuseini 11S. Szmodics

Birmingham City

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1J. Beadle 2E. Laird 5P. Neumann 4C. Klarer 20A. Cochrane 24T. Iwata 8S. Paik 7C. Vicente 28J. Stansfield 17L. Millar 9A. Priske

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 62.3%

Derby County Win28.4%

Draw32.6%

Birmingham City Win39.0%

BTTS: No53.9%

Under 2.562.3%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 62.3%. Derby County have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Birmingham City have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No.

Predicted Score0 - 0

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Derby County Wins

Draws

Birmingham City Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 5 - 7

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
12 Sep 2026	L	1 - 2	W	Championship
21 Mar 2026	W	1 - 0	L	Championship
26 Dec 2025	D	1 - 1	D	Championship
30 Jan 2022	D	2 - 2	D	Championship
10 Sep 2021	L	0 - 2	W	Championship

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All predictions and scorelines on this website are generated using statistical algorithms and historical data analysis. They are intended as analytical insights only and are not guaranteed to be accurate. Nothing on this website constitutes betting advice. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.