Carabao Cup • Round 3

Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction

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6 - 3

Leeds United

Away

Stamford Bridge, London Wed 9 Sep, 2026

Prediction incorrect

Match Recap

Chelsea thrash Leeds United 6-3 in Carabao Cup

Chelsea won 6-3 at home against Leeds United in the Carabao Cup third round, storming back after going behind to seal a commanding victory.

Read the full recap

Match Events

23' Leeds United T. Muharemović (H. Wilson)

45' R. Watson Chelsea

46' Estêvão → P. Neto Chelsea

46' J. Gittens → C. Palmer Chelsea

46' M. Gusto → M. Rogers Chelsea

46' R. Watson → R. James Chelsea

48' Leeds United B. Aaronson (L. Nmecha)

53' C. Palmer (Pen) Chelsea

55' C. Palmer (M. Rogers) Chelsea

60' P. Neto (M. Rogers) Chelsea

65' D. Welbeck (M. Rogers) Chelsea

66' Leeds United L. Nmecha → D. Calvert-Lewin

66' Leeds United D. James → A. Stach

67' Leeds United S. Longstaff → A. Tanaka

67' Leeds United B. Aaronson → N. Okafor

75' Leeds United D. Calvert-Lewin (N. Okafor)

76' L. Colwill → W. Fofana Chelsea

78' Leeds United M. Bard → G. Gudmundsson

80' V. Barco Chelsea

82' X. Alonso (Manager) Chelsea

90' D. Welbeck (V. Barco) Chelsea

Match Statistics

Chelsea Leeds United

49% Possession 51%

16 Total Shots 18

8 Shots on Target 6

5 Shots off Target 4

9 Shots Inside Box 15

7 Shots Outside Box 3

5 Big Chances 4

3 Corner Kicks 5

6 Fouls 10

2 Offsides 1

1 Yellow Cards 0

480 Passes 490

389 Accurate Passes 401

81% Pass Accuracy 81.8%

22 Tackles 20

14 Interceptions 10

Shot Map

Chelsea

Leeds United

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds — Full Highlights

Lineups Confirmed

Chelsea

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

39M. Penders 34J. Acheampong 5M. Lacroix 6L. Colwill 27M. Gusto 31R. Watson 4V. Barco 29P. Chavarría 41Estêvão 11J. Gittens 18D. Welbeck

Substitutes

26E. Martínez 21J. Hato 3W. Fofana 24R. James 7P. Neto 10C. Palmer 23G. Quenda 17M. Rogers 9J. Pedro

Leeds United

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

16M. Zetterer 24J. Justin 15J. Bijol 5T. Muharemović 26M. Bard 4E. Ampadu 8S. Longstaff 7D. James 10H. Wilson 11B. Aaronson 14L. Nmecha

Substitutes

1J. Trafford 3G. Gudmundsson 30N. Elvedi 2J. Bogle 22A. Tanaka 18A. Stach 19N. Okafor 9D. Calvert-Lewin 23J. Bahoya

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 56.9%

Chelsea Win37.0%

Draw25.9%

Leeds United Win37.1%

BTTS: Yes56.9%

Over 2.551.1%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 56.9%. Chelsea have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Leeds United have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score2 - 2

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Chelsea Wins

Draws

Leeds United Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 13 - 10

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
09 Sep 2026	W	6 - 3	L	Carabao Cup
26 Apr 2026	W	1 - 0	L	Carabao Cup
10 Feb 2026	D	2 - 2	D	Carabao Cup
03 Dec 2025	L	1 - 3	W	Carabao Cup
28 Feb 2024	W	3 - 2	L	Carabao Cup

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