UEFA Nations League • League A, Group 3

Spain vs Croatia Prediction

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4 - 1

Croatia

Away

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville Tue 29 Sep, 2026

Prediction correct

Match Recap

Spain thrash Croatia 4-1 in Nations League

Spain beat Croatia 4-1 at home in a UEFA Nations League group stage match, with L. Yamal scoring twice in the comfortable victory.

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Match Events

2' L. Yamal (A. Baena) Spain

18' Croatia M. Pongračić

28' Croatia D. D. Beljo (I. Perišić)

31' Pubill (L. Yamal) Spain

37' Croatia P. Sučić

46' Croatia M. Pongračić → L. Vušković

49' A. Baena Spain

54' Croatia M. Pašalić

57' F. Ruiz → Pedri Spain

57' F. López → M. Merino Spain

58' Croatia J. Mišić

60' Croatia M. Kovačić → M. Pašalić

60' Croatia D. D. Beljo → A. Budimir

63' L. Yamal (Pedri) Spain

68' L. Yamal → V. Muñoz Spain

68' A. Baena → N. Williams Spain

72' M. Zubimendi → Rodri Spain

72' Croatia I. Perišić → F. Ivanović

81' Croatia P. Sučić → L. Modrić

89' N. Williams (M. Merino) Spain

Match Statistics

Spain Croatia

64% Possession 36%

16 Total Shots 5

7 Shots on Target 2

6 Shots off Target 1

12 Shots Inside Box 4

4 Shots Outside Box 1

4 Big Chances 1

6 Corner Kicks 2

9 Fouls 10

5 Offsides 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

620 Passes 345

568 Accurate Passes 296

91.6% Pass Accuracy 85.8%

15 Tackles 21

8 Interceptions 9

1 Expected Goals (xG) 0

Shot Map

Spain

Croatia

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Spain 3 - 1 Croatia — 63' Lamine Yamal

Spain 2 - 1 Croatia — 31' Marc Pubill

Spain 1 - 1 Croatia — 28' Dion Drena Beljo

Spain 1 - 0 Croatia — 2' Lamine Yamal

Lineups Confirmed

Spain

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

23U. Simón 12Pubill 5P. Cubarsí 2D. Huijsen 22M. Cucurella 18M. Zubimendi 8F. Ruiz 19L. Yamal 9F. López 15A. Baena 21M. Oyarzabal

Substitutes

1D. Raya 13J. Martínez 4I. Fresneda 14A. Laporte 20Pedri 16Rodri 17N. Williams 10D. Olmo 6M. Merino 3A. Grimaldo 11V. Muñoz 7F. Torres

Croatia

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1D. Livaković 2I. Smolčić 6J. Šutalo 3M. Pongračić 4J. Gvardiol 22J. Mišić 8M. Kovačić 19M. Pašalić 17P. Sučić 14I. Perišić 20D. D. Beljo

Substitutes

12I. Pandur 23D. Kotarski 5L. Vušković 10L. Modrić 16M. Baturina 15M. Pašalić 13N. Vlašić 18K. Jakić 21L. Sučić 7F. Ivanović 9A. Kramarić 11A. Budimir

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Spain win - 66.4%

Spain Win66.4%

Draw16.9%

Croatia Win16.7%

BTTS: No58.5%

Over 2.554.5%

The model leans toward Spain win at 66.4%. Spain have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Croatia have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No and over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score3 - 0

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Spain Wins

Draws

Croatia Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 14 - 5

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
06 Oct 2026	W	2 - 1	L	UEFA Nations League
29 Sep 2026	W	4 - 1	L	UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024	W	3 - 0	L	UEFA Nations League
18 Jun 2023	D	0 - 0	D	UEFA Nations League
28 Jun 2021	W	5 - 3	L	UEFA Nations League

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All predictions and scorelines on this website are generated using statistical algorithms and historical data analysis. They are intended as analytical insights only and are not guaranteed to be accurate. Nothing on this website constitutes betting advice. Please gamble responsibly and within your means.