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Prediction correct
Match Recap

France edge Belgium in Nations League Group Stage

M. Olise's late strike gave France a 0-1 away victory over Belgium in their UEFA Nations League group match.

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Match Events
42' D. Moreira Belgium
57' K. De Bruyne Belgium
63' D. Moreira → D. Lukebakio Belgium
63' K. De Bruyne → H. Vanaken Belgium
66' Y. Tielemans Belgium
68' France E. Lepaul → O. Dembélé
68' J. Seys → M. De Cuyper Belgium
77' France B. Barcola → M. Olise
77' France M. Akliouche → R. Cherki
85' R. Lavia → N. Raskin Belgium
88' France M. Olise (R. Cherki)
90' France L. Da Cunha → M. Koné
Match Statistics
Belgium France
35% Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Shots off Target 6
7 Shots Inside Box 12
5 Shots Outside Box 6
2 Big Chances 2
2 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
363 Passes 677
300 Accurate Passes 625
82.6% Pass Accuracy 92.3%
17 Tackles 18
10 Interceptions 7
0 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Belgium

Miss — 0.03 xG, 2'Block — 0.09 xG, 15'Miss — 0.01 xG, 24'Miss — 0.03 xG, 36'Miss — 0.09 xG, 37'Miss — 0.02 xG, 63'Save — 0.15 xG, 73'Miss — 0.03 xG, 74'Miss — 0.04 xG, 75'Save — 0.05 xG, 78'Block — 0.10 xG, 80'Block — 0.10 xG, 90'

France

Miss — 0.09 xG, 5'Miss — 0.03 xG, 11'Post — 0.10 xG, 12'Save — 0.23 xG, 17'Save — 0.03 xG, 19'Block — 0.03 xG, 24'Save — 0.05 xG, 27'Blocked-off-line — 0.02 xG, 27'Block — 0.02 xG, 40'Block — 0.04 xG, 51'Miss — 0.02 xG, 52'Miss — 0.03 xG, 53'Post — 0.01 xG, 53'Block — 0.05 xG, 55'Save — 0.03 xG, 56'Miss — 0.18 xG, 56'Save — 0.02 xG, 62'Goal — 0.18 xG, 88'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 53.8%
Belgium Win33.4%
Draw23.2%
France Win43.3%
BTTS: Yes53.8%
Under 2.551.5%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 53.8%. Belgium have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. France have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward under 2.5 goals.

Score prediction not available for this match.

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
0
Belgium Wins
0
Draws
5
France Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 2 - 10
Date Home Score Away Competition
05 Oct 2026 L 1 - 4 W UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 2026 L 0 - 1 W UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 L 1 - 2 W UEFA Nations League
09 Sep 2024 L 0 - 2 W UEFA Nations League
01 Jul 2024 L 0 - 1 W UEFA Nations League
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