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Prediction correct
Match Recap

Portugal wins away at Denmark in Nations League thriller

Portugal secured a 2-4 victory away at Denmark in a UEFA Nations League group stage match, with goals from J. Cancelo, G. Ramos, Vitinha and J. Félix.

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Match Events
13' Portugal J. Cancelo (G. Ramos)
23' M. Damsgaard (J. Mæhle) Denmark
25' Portugal G. Ramos (B. Fernandes)
46' A. Daghim → G. Isaksen Denmark
53' R. Højlund (M. Damsgaard) Denmark
63' Portugal R. Leão → F. Trincão
63' Portugal J. Cancelo → D. Dalot
67' Portugal Vitinha (B. Fernandes)
68' Portugal J. Jesus (Manager)
74' M. Hjulmand → V. Froholdt Denmark
79' M. Daramy Denmark
80' J. Mæhle → N. Nartey Denmark
81' Portugal P. Neto → J. Félix
81' Portugal G. Ramos → J. Neves
82' Portugal R. Neves
85' M. Damsgaard → K. Høgh Denmark
87' Portugal J. Félix (D. Dalot)
90' Portugal B. Fernandes → T. Araújo
Match Statistics
Denmark Portugal
54% Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Shots off Target 4
5 Shots Inside Box 13
7 Shots Outside Box 6
1 Big Chances 6
3 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
525 Passes 449
456 Accurate Passes 374
86.9% Pass Accuracy 83.3%
11 Tackles 9
6 Interceptions 8
0 Expected Goals (xG) 2
Shot Map

Denmark

Save — 0.02 xG, 8'Miss — 0.04 xG, 15'Goal — 0.04 xG, 23'Block — 0.07 xG, 27'Miss — 0.02 xG, 28'Miss — 0.06 xG, 48'Goal — 0.29 xG, 53'Miss — 0.01 xG, 55'Block — 0.03 xG, 58'Block — 0.04 xG, 59'Miss — 0.03 xG, 61'Miss — 0.02 xG, 74'

Portugal

Block — 0.04 xG, 7'Save — 0.02 xG, 7'Miss — 0.06 xG, 12'Post — 0.16 xG, 12'Goal — 0.63 xG, 13'Block — 0.07 xG, 22'Save — 0.06 xG, 22'Goal — 0.34 xG, 25'Miss — 0.03 xG, 32'Save — 0.02 xG, 35'Save — 0.30 xG, 40'Save — 0.09 xG, 47'Block — 0.03 xG, 59'Miss — 0.31 xG, 62'Save — 0.07 xG, 64'Goal — 0.35 xG, 67'Block — 0.04 xG, 71'Goal — 0.15 xG, 87'Block — 0.02 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 53.7%
Denmark Win32.2%
Draw26.1%
Portugal Win41.7%
BTTS: Yes51.4%
Under 2.553.7%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 53.7%. Denmark have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Portugal have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Score prediction not available for this match.

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
1
Denmark Wins
1
Draws
3
Portugal Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 8 - 13
Date Home Score Away Competition
01 Oct 2026 L 2 - 4 W UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 L 2 - 5 W UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 W 1 - 0 L UEFA Nations League
13 Jun 2012 L 2 - 3 W UEFA Nations League
05 Sep 2009 D 1 - 1 D UEFA Nations League
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