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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Mantova Stuns Lazio With Away Victory in Coppa Italia

Mantova pulled off a shock upset at the Stadio Olimpico, beating Lazio 0-2 away from home in the Coppa Italia Round of 64.

Read the full recap
Match Events
21' Mantova B. Tomašević
25' N. Rovella Lazio
56' Mantova J. Silva → I. Cajazzo
56' Mantova B. Tomašević → A. Meroni
56' Mantova R. Ilie → D. Bragantini
56' F. Dele-Bashiru Lazio
64' A. Pedraza → L. Pellegrini Lazio
71' B. Dia → P. Ratkov Lazio
74' Mantova L. Ignacchiti → J. P. Longonda
75' Mantova F. Ruocco (D. Bragantini)
79' M. Cancellieri → T. Noslin Lazio
79' N. Rovella → R. Belahyane Lazio
79' M. Cancellieri Lazio
85' Mantova F. Benaissa-Yahia → D. Wieser
90' Mantova I. Cajazzo (D. Wieser)
Match Statistics
Lazio Mantova
70% Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
12 Shots off Target 2
14 Shots Inside Box 8
7 Shots Outside Box 4
4 Big Chances 2
7 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
636 Passes 278
550 Accurate Passes 209
86.5% Pass Accuracy 75.2%
7 Tackles 12
8 Interceptions 14
0 Expected Goals (xG) 0
Shot Map

Lazio

Block — 0.10 xG, 4'Save — 0.18 xG, 4'Miss — 0.20 xG, 4'Miss — 0.02 xG, 11'Miss — 0.02 xG, 14'Block — 0.04 xG, 32'Save — 0.03 xG, 33'Miss — 0.03 xG, 44'Miss — 0.11 xG, 45'Miss — 0.05 xG, 53'Block — 0.08 xG, 55'Block — 0.03 xG, 64'Miss — 0.74 xG, 67'Miss — 0.03 xG, 69'Miss — 0.15 xG, 73'Block — 0.04 xG, 78'Miss — 0.02 xG, 81'Block — 0.27 xG, 85'Miss — 0.05 xG, 88'Miss — 0.45 xG, 90'Save — 0.08 xG, 90'

Mantova

Block — 0.02 xG, 7'Save — 0.04 xG, 7'Miss — 0.08 xG, 10'Save — 0.04 xG, 15'Save — 0.04 xG, 17'Save — 0.08 xG, 21'Block — 0.09 xG, 34'Block — 0.05 xG, 38'Save — 0.04 xG, 38'Miss — 0.05 xG, 45'Goal — 0.64 xG, 75'Goal — 0.38 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 85.9%
Lazio Win49.5%
Draw24.1%
Mantova Win26.4%
BTTS: Yes82.1%
Over 2.585.9%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 85.9%. Lazio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Mantova have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 1
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
1
Lazio Wins
1
Draws
1
Mantova Wins
3 meetings • Goals: 1 - 2
Date Home Score Away Competition
16 Aug 2026 L 0 - 2 W Coppa Italia
30 Apr 1967 W 1 - 0 L Coppa Italia
24 Dec 1966 D 0 - 0 D Coppa Italia
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