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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Bristol City stun Burnley with late away win

Bristol City won 1-2 away at Burnley in a Championship match on 5 September, turning the game around in the second half to pick up three points.

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Match Events
45' H. Ekdal Burnley
46' H. Ekdal → A. Ahmedhodžić Burnley
46' A. Hountondji → A. Broja Burnley
56' A. Ramsey (R. Hatate) Burnley
61' Bristol City G. Yah → D. Ballard
61' Bristol City J. Wallace → Y. Hirakawa
63' R. Hatate → Z. Amdouni Burnley
70' L. Ramazani → J. Bruun Larsen Burnley
72' Bristol City C. Pring → G. Tanner
72' Bristol City S. Twine → S. Greenwood
80' Bristol City L. Tolaj → E. Adebayo
82' Bristol City R. Dickie (R. Cardines)
83' K. Walker Burnley
85' A. Ramsey → H. Mejbri Burnley
90' A. Broja Burnley
90' Bristol City Y. Hirakawa
Match Statistics
Burnley Bristol City
53% Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Shots off Target 8
4 Shots Inside Box 10
4 Shots Outside Box 5
0 Big Chances 3
5 Corner Kicks 8
13 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
469 Passes 422
392 Accurate Passes 332
83.6% Pass Accuracy 78.7%
17 Tackles 18
8 Interceptions 5
0 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Burnley

Miss — 0.06 xG, 9'Miss — 0.04 xG, 22'Block — 0.01 xG, 39'Block — 0.03 xG, 41'Miss — 0.03 xG, 41'Save — 0.03 xG, 52'Goal — 0.05 xG, 56'Block — 0.02 xG, 75'

Bristol City

Block — 0.03 xG, 29'Save — 0.04 xG, 34'Miss — 0.19 xG, 34'Block — 0.03 xG, 35'Miss — 0.02 xG, 52'Block — 0.03 xG, 67'Miss — 0.05 xG, 68'Miss — 0.16 xG, 70'Post — 0.11 xG, 70'Miss — 0.21 xG, 70'Miss — 0.02 xG, 73'Goal — 0.06 xG, 82'Save — 0.05 xG, 84'Miss — 0.06 xG, 86'Goal — 0.03 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 57.3%
Burnley Win33.4%
Draw27.8%
Bristol City Win38.8%
BTTS: Yes50.3%
Under 2.557.3%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 57.3%. Burnley have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Bristol City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score1 - 1
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
4
Burnley Wins
0
Draws
1
Bristol City Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 7 - 4
Date Home Score Away Competition
05 Sep 2026 L 1 - 2 W Championship
29 Mar 2025 W 1 - 0 L Championship
23 Nov 2024 W 1 - 0 L Championship
29 Apr 2023 W 2 - 1 L Championship
17 Sep 2022 W 2 - 1 L Championship
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