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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

PSV stun Ajax with early goal in 1-3 away win

PSV Eindhoven won 1-3 away at AFC Ajax in the Eredivisie, with R. Pepi's early strike setting the tone for a dominant performance from the visitors.

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Match Events
5' PSV Eindhoven R. Pepi (R. van Bommel)
16' PSV Eindhoven K. Sano
23' T. Arokodare AFC Ajax
37' PSV Eindhoven N. Fernandez
45' PSV Eindhoven L. Geertruida
46' PSV Eindhoven N. Fernandez → P. Wanner
54' O. Gloukh → S. Amrabat AFC Ajax
54' D. Klaassen → M. Leonardo AFC Ajax
61' S. Berghuis → V. Tsygankov AFC Ajax
61' T. Arokodare → K. Dolberg AFC Ajax
63' PSV Eindhoven I. Perišić → E. Bajraktarević
63' PSV Eindhoven R. Pepi → S. Mijnans
73' PSV Eindhoven L. Geertruida → R. Flamingo
73' J. Mokio → A. Ouazane AFC Ajax
73' PSV Eindhoven M. Júnior → F. Kostić
74' PSV Eindhoven F. Kostić
80' D. Klaassen AFC Ajax
81' PSV Eindhoven R. van Bommel
81' Y. Baas AFC Ajax
81' PSV Eindhoven I. Perišić
84' A. Bouwman → T. Kehrer AFC Ajax
84' PSV Eindhoven L. Geertruida
88' PSV Eindhoven A. Obispo → Y. Gasiorowski
90' A. Gaaei AFC Ajax
90' PSV Eindhoven E. Bajraktarević (S. Mijnans)
Match Statistics
AFC Ajax PSV Eindhoven
53% Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Shots off Target 6
12 Shots Inside Box 11
7 Shots Outside Box 2
4 Big Chances 3
1 Corner Kicks 1
6 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
513 Passes 446
427 Accurate Passes 384
83.2% Pass Accuracy 86.1%
25 Tackles 28
15 Interceptions 14
1 Expected Goals (xG) 2
Shot Map

AFC Ajax

Save — 0.03 xG, 4'Block — 0.03 xG, 12'Save — 0.21 xG, 15'Miss — 0.29 xG, 15'Goal — 0.14 xG, 23'Block — 0.09 xG, 26'Save — 0.10 xG, 30'Miss — 0.24 xG, 30'Miss — 0.29 xG, 35'Miss — 0.02 xG, 51'Block — 0.07 xG, 75'Miss — 0.11 xG, 76'Miss — 0.05 xG, 88'Save — 0.03 xG, 90'Block — 0.08 xG, 90'Save — 0.05 xG, 90'Block — 0.14 xG, 90'Block — 0.02 xG, 90'Miss — 0.05 xG, 90'

PSV Eindhoven

Goal — 0.80 xG, 5'Block — 0.22 xG, 8'Miss — 0.13 xG, 20'Miss — 0.03 xG, 27'Miss — 0.10 xG, 39'Miss — 0.05 xG, 40'Block — 0.03 xG, 42'Goal — 0.04 xG, 45'Miss — 0.07 xG, 58'Miss — 0.03 xG, 64'Save — 0.67 xG, 65'Save — 0.25 xG, 71'Goal — 0.13 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 80.6%
AFC Ajax Win36.5%
Draw28.3%
PSV Eindhoven Win35.3%
BTTS: Yes79.2%
Over 2.580.6%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 80.6%. AFC Ajax have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. PSV Eindhoven have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 2
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
2
AFC Ajax Wins
2
Draws
1
PSV Eindhoven Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 10 - 9
Date Home Score Away Competition
05 Sep 2026 L 1 - 3 W Eredivisie
02 May 2026 D 2 - 2 D Eredivisie
21 Sep 2025 D 2 - 2 D Eredivisie
30 Mar 2025 W 2 - 0 L Eredivisie
02 Nov 2024 W 3 - 2 L Eredivisie
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