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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Forest stun Villa with late winner at Villa Park

Nottingham Forest picked up a 1-2 victory away at Aston Villa, with I. Jesus settling the match in the 88th minute.

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Match Events
25' P. Torres → T. Mings Aston Villa
43' Nottingham Forest D. Ndoye
45' Nottingham Forest Murillo
45' N. Jackson Aston Villa
46' Nottingham Forest L. Delap (Murillo)
46' G. Hemmings → Alysson Aston Villa
46' N. Jackson → T. Abraham Aston Villa
56' Nottingham Forest X. Schlager
63' R. Barkley → J. Manzambi Aston Villa
63' E. Buendía → I. Mbaye Aston Villa
74' Alysson (J. McGinn) Aston Villa
75' Nottingham Forest D. Ndoye → I. Jesus
75' Nottingham Forest L. Delap
80' Nottingham Forest J. McAtee
82' Nottingham Forest J. McAtee → I. Sangaré
83' I. Maatsen Aston Villa
88' Nottingham Forest I. Jesus (M. Gibbs-White)
90' T. Mings Aston Villa
90' Nottingham Forest L. Delap → C. Wood
Match Statistics
Aston Villa Nottingham Forest
54% Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Shots off Target 12
6 Shots Inside Box 14
1 Shots Outside Box 8
2 Big Chances 6
6 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
421 Passes 360
346 Accurate Passes 309
82.2% Pass Accuracy 85.8%
17 Tackles 23
7 Interceptions 8
0 Expected Goals (xG) 2
Shot Map

Aston Villa

Save — 0.44 xG, 7'Block — 0.12 xG, 7'Save — 0.06 xG, 8'Save — 0.02 xG, 32'Save — 0.02 xG, 73'Goal — 0.07 xG, 74'Miss — 0.13 xG, 90'

Nottingham Forest

Save — 0.01 xG, 12'Miss — 0.06 xG, 16'Save — 0.05 xG, 23'Save — 0.08 xG, 35'Miss — 0.11 xG, 45'Goal — 0.02 xG, 46'Miss — 0.02 xG, 50'Miss — 0.04 xG, 55'Miss — 0.44 xG, 58'Miss — 0.25 xG, 59'Block — 0.24 xG, 61'Miss — 0.03 xG, 61'Block — 0.07 xG, 69'Miss — 0.02 xG, 77'Block — 0.02 xG, 79'Miss — 0.03 xG, 80'Save — 0.09 xG, 85'Save — 0.04 xG, 86'Miss — 0.07 xG, 86'Goal — 0.13 xG, 88'Miss — 0.05 xG, 90'Miss — 0.05 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 69.5%
Aston Villa Win46.7%
Draw24.1%
Nottingham Forest Win29.2%
BTTS: Yes67.5%
Over 2.569.5%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 69.5%. Aston Villa have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Nottingham Forest have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 1
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
2
Aston Villa Wins
1
Draws
2
Nottingham Forest Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 9 - 5
Date Home Score Away Competition
12 Sep 2026 L 1 - 2 W Premier League
07 May 2026 W 4 - 0 L Premier League
30 Apr 2026 L 0 - 1 W Premier League
12 Apr 2026 D 1 - 1 D Premier League
03 Jan 2026 W 3 - 1 L Premier League
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Bet on this match

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
2.353.503.29Bet
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