Championship • regular-season

Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

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Derby County

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Turf Moor, Burnley Sat 19 Sep, 2026

Prediction correct Score correct

Match Recap

Burnley and Derby draw in entertaining Championship clash

Burnley and Derby County drew 1-1 at home on 19 September, with Z. Amdouni's first-half goal cancelled out by M. Fuseini's late equaliser.

Read the full recap

Match Events

31' I. Júlio Burnley

34' Z. Amdouni (L. Pires) Burnley

56' A. Ahmedhodžić Burnley

61' R. Hatate → U. Raghouber Burnley

61' M. Edwards → L. Ramazani Burnley

66' Derby County R. Hedges → M. Fuseini

66' Derby County A. Mowatt → O. Fraulo

67' Derby County D. Ozoh

68' J. Laurent Burnley

73' J. Bruun Larsen → A. Hountondji Burnley

73' Z. Amdouni → J. Vardy Burnley

78' Derby County D. Ozoh → R. Brewster

82' Derby County C. Taylor → C. Taylor

86' U. Raghouber Burnley

87' Derby County C. Taylor

89' L. Pires → O. Sonne Burnley

90' Derby County M. Fuseini (R. Brewster)

Match Statistics

Burnley Derby County

52% Possession 48%

6 Total Shots 17

2 Shots on Target 6

1 Shots off Target 4

4 Shots Inside Box 10

2 Shots Outside Box 7

1 Big Chances 3

4 Corner Kicks 6

9 Fouls 12

3 Offsides 4

4 Yellow Cards 2

438 Passes 393

347 Accurate Passes 316

79.2% Pass Accuracy 80.4%

7 Tackles 22

7 Interceptions 13

0 Expected Goals (xG) 1

Shot Map

Burnley

Derby County

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Burnley 1 - 1 Derby — Full Highlights

Lineups Confirmed

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

1M. Weiss 22O. Sonne 2K. Walker 44I. Júlio 14C. Roberts 5R. Hatate 3M. Alleyne 11Z. Amdouni 29J. Laurent 19L. Ramazani 9J. Vardy

Derby County

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

31J. Vickers 23J. Ward 6S. K. Langås 44E. J. Cashin 18C. Taylor 8B. Clark 4D. Ozoh 16M. Fuseini 29O. Fraulo 11S. Szmodics 9C. Morris

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 53.9%

Burnley Win34.2%

Draw32.1%

Derby County Win33.7%

BTTS: Yes53.9%

Under 2.552.6%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 53.9%. Burnley have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Derby County have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score1 - 1

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Burnley Wins

Draws

Derby County Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 7 - 3

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
19 Sep 2026	D	1 - 1	D	Championship
26 Aug 2025	W	2 - 1	L	Championship
08 Apr 2025	D	0 - 0	D	Championship
10 Dec 2024	D	0 - 0	D	Championship
25 Jan 2016	W	4 - 1	L	Championship

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