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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Estudiantes stun Corinthians with late away winner

Estudiantes de La Plata won 0-1 away at Corinthians in a Copa Libertadores quarter-final, with A. Castro scoring in the 87th minute.

Read the full recap
Match Events
4' B. Bidon Corinthians
41' Estudiantes de La Plata T. Palacios
45' Estudiantes de La Plata L. G. Pírez
64' Estudiantes de La Plata J. Correa → F. Pérez
69' A. Carrillo → A. Luiz Corinthians
76' Estudiantes de La Plata J. Tobio Burgos → E. Cetré
76' Estudiantes de La Plata B. Rodriguez → G. Neves
87' Estudiantes de La Plata A. Castro (T. Palacios)
90' R. Garro Corinthians
90' Estudiantes de La Plata F. Pérez → R. Funes Mori
90' Estudiantes de La Plata E. Mancuso → E. Meza
90' B. Bidon → J. Lingard Corinthians
90' G. Paulista → P. Raul Corinthians
90' Allan → G. Negão Corinthians
Match Statistics
Corinthians Estudiantes de La Plata
56% Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Shots off Target 4
3 Shots Inside Box 4
6 Shots Outside Box 2
1 Big Chances 0
3 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 22
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
469 Passes 356
386 Accurate Passes 279
82.3% Pass Accuracy 78.4%
16 Tackles 11
4 Interceptions 3
1 Expected Goals (xG) 0
Shot Map

Corinthians

Miss — 0.03 xG, 23'Miss — 0.06 xG, 36'Save — 0.04 xG, 38'Miss — 0.01 xG, 41'Miss — 0.15 xG, 53'Block — 0.04 xG, 56'Block — 0.03 xG, 60'Save — 0.05 xG, 77'Miss — 0.79 xG, 90'

Estudiantes de La Plata

Miss — 0.01 xG, 26'Miss — 0.03 xG, 43'Miss — 0.09 xG, 54'Miss — 0.09 xG, 80'Goal — 0.13 xG, 87'Save — 0.08 xG, 90'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 80.3%
Corinthians Win36.7%
Draw36.4%
Estudiantes de La Plata Win26.9%
BTTS: No70.5%
Under 2.580.3%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 80.3%. Corinthians have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Estudiantes de La Plata have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No.

Predicted Score0 - 0
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
1
Corinthians Wins
1
Draws
2
Estudiantes de La Plata Wins
4 meetings • Goals: 2 - 3
Date Home Score Away Competition
17 Sep 2026 L 0 - 1 W Copa Libertadores
10 Sep 2026 D 1 - 1 D Copa Libertadores
30 Aug 2023 L 0 - 1 W Copa Libertadores
23 Aug 2023 W 1 - 0 L Copa Libertadores
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Bet on this match

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
1.963.134.70Bet
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