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Prediction incorrect
Match Recap

Italy thrash Türkiye 4-1 away in Nations League

Italy won 1-4 away at Türkiye in a UEFA Nations League group stage match, with A. Bastoni, D. Frattesi, M. Kayode and F. P. Esposito all finding the net.

Read the full recap
Match Events
9' Italy A. Bastoni
22' Italy D. Frattesi
38' C. Uzun Türkiye
46' O. Kökçü → İ. Yüksek Türkiye
46' C. Uzun → K. Aktürkoğlu Türkiye
46' M. Demiral → A. Bardakcı Türkiye
46' Italy G. Raspadori → N. Cambiaghi
47' B. A. Yılmaz (O. Aydın) Türkiye
50' Italy F. P. Esposito
54' B. A. Yılmaz Türkiye
63' Italy S. Esposito → I. Doumbia
72' O. Kabak Türkiye
75' Italy F. P. Esposito → G. Scamacca
76' Italy N. Fagioli → A. Romano
76' S. Özcan → D. E. Tıknaz Türkiye
80' B. A. Yılmaz → D. Gül Türkiye
82' Italy D. Frattesi → G. Di Lorenzo
Match Statistics
Türkiye Italy
54% Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Shots off Target 4
6 Shots Inside Box 12
9 Shots Outside Box 2
3 Big Chances 3
6 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
571 Passes 497
491 Accurate Passes 423
86% Pass Accuracy 85.1%
10 Tackles 17
9 Interceptions 8
2 Expected Goals (xG) 2
Shot Map

Türkiye

Miss — 0.09 xG, 24'Save — 0.01 xG, 28'Miss — 0.02 xG, 46'Goal — 0.80 xG, 47'Block — 0.03 xG, 58'Miss — 0.02 xG, 61'Block — 0.06 xG, 69'Block — 0.03 xG, 77'Miss — 0.01 xG, 77'Miss — 0.02 xG, 79'Miss — 0.45 xG, 80'Block — 0.02 xG, 86'Miss — 0.22 xG, 87'Block — 0.02 xG, 90'Miss — 0.02 xG, 90'

Italy

Miss — 0.03 xG, 5'Save — 0.01 xG, 8'Goal — 0.06 xG, 9'Goal — 0.78 xG, 22'Save — 0.04 xG, 22'Block — 0.01 xG, 26'Goal — 0.45 xG, 27'Block — 0.07 xG, 29'Miss — 0.10 xG, 32'Miss — 0.10 xG, 35'Post — 0.04 xG, 50'Goal — 0.37 xG, 50'Save — 0.06 xG, 72'Save — 0.33 xG, 72'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Under 2.5 - 58.2%
Türkiye Win36.4%
Draw26.1%
Italy Win37.5%
BTTS: No50.5%
Under 2.558.2%

The model leans toward Under 2.5 at 58.2%. Türkiye have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Italy have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward BTTS No.

Predicted Score0 - 0
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
0
Türkiye Wins
1
Draws
4
Italy Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 4 - 13
Date Home Score Away Competition
05 Oct 2026 L 1 - 3 W UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 2026 L 1 - 4 W UEFA Nations League
04 Jun 2024 D 0 - 0 D UEFA Nations League
29 Mar 2022 L 2 - 3 W UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2021 L 0 - 3 W UEFA Nations League
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