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Prediction correct
Match Recap

Montenegro edges Armenia in Nations League thriller

Montenegro won 2-3 away at Armenia in a Nations League group stage match, with A. Latković's late goal sealing the victory on 28 September 2026.

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Match Events
20' Montenegro E. Piloyan (OG)
38' Montenegro N. Krstović (A. Duric)
46' A. Serobyan Armenia
46' Z. Shaghoyan → N. Hovhannisyan Armenia
54' Montenegro D. Vuković → M. Vešović
55' U. Iwu → K. Hovhannisyan Armenia
55' A. Miranyan → A. Gharibyan Armenia
59' Montenegro M. Osmajić
68' Montenegro O. Gašević → R. Radunović
68' Montenegro S. Lončar → V. Adžić
69' Montenegro M. Roganović → A. Latković
70' A. Serobyan → E. Sevikyan Armenia
76' E. Sevikyan Armenia
79' Montenegro M. Osmajić → S. Jovetić
82' Montenegro A. Latković
89' Montenegro A. Latković
90' E. Piloyan → G. Manvelyan Armenia
Match Statistics
Armenia Montenegro
55% Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Shots off Target 5
6 Shots Inside Box 9
3 Shots Outside Box 3
2 Big Chances 3
2 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
495 Passes 402
418 Accurate Passes 332
84.4% Pass Accuracy 82.6%
15 Tackles 15
4 Interceptions 8
0 Expected Goals (xG) 1
Shot Map

Armenia

Goal — 0.44 xG, 34'Save — 0.02 xG, 43'Miss — 0.05 xG, 58'Block — 0.02 xG, 59'Goal — 0.03 xG, 65'Save — 0.02 xG, 67'Miss — 0.05 xG, 68'Post — 0.11 xG, 70'Block — 0.04 xG, 73'Block — 0.02 xG, 73'

Montenegro

Miss — 0.03 xG, 4'Miss — 0.24 xG, 6'Block — 0.01 xG, 20'Goal — 0.08 xG, 20'Block — 0.03 xG, 27'Save — 0.05 xG, 28'Goal — 0.06 xG, 38'Block — 0.03 xG, 44'Save — 0.03 xG, 47'Miss — 0.31 xG, 52'Miss — 0.19 xG, 75'Miss — 0.10 xG, 86'Goal — 0.27 xG, 89'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: BTTS Yes - 57.7%
Armenia Win35.6%
Draw24.9%
Montenegro Win39.5%
BTTS: Yes57.7%
Over 2.552.3%

The model leans toward BTTS Yes at 57.7%. Armenia have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Montenegro have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score1 - 2
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
1
Armenia Wins
2
Draws
2
Montenegro Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 6 - 9
Date Home Score Away Competition
05 Oct 2026 D 0 - 0 D UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 2026 L 2 - 3 W UEFA Nations League
09 Jun 2025 D 2 - 2 D UEFA Nations League
24 Mar 2022 W 1 - 0 L UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2017 L 1 - 4 W UEFA Nations League
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