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Statizio
Brasileirão Serie A
Home
2 - 1
FT
Away
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro Thu 16 Jul, 2026
Prediction correct Score correct
Match Recap

Botafogo holds off Santos fightback at home

Botafogo secured a 2-1 victory over Santos at home in Serie A, with L. Emanuel's first-half strike proving decisive despite a second-half equaliser from Á. Barreal.

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Match Events
25' Huguinho Botafogo
26' Santos Thaciano
41' L. Emanuel (K. Toledo) Botafogo
45' M. Martins Botafogo
45' Santos Á. Barreal
54' Santos G. H. Pereira → C. Oliva
57' Santos Á. Barreal
64' M. Martins → S. Rodríguez Botafogo
64' Santos Thaciano → Rony
64' Santos Miguelito → Nadson
71' Santos B. Rollheiser → G. Bontempo
71' Santos I. Vinícius → G. Menino
77' K. Toledo → K. Barría Botafogo
78' N. Ferraresi Botafogo
78' L. Emanuel → Edenilson Botafogo
86' Vitinho → M. Ponte Botafogo
86' A. Telles → Marçal Botafogo
90' K. Barría Botafogo
90' K. Barría Botafogo
Match Statistics
Botafogo Santos
48% Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Shots off Target 6
11 Shots Inside Box 15
6 Shots Outside Box 7
4 Big Chances 4
5 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
377 Passes 418
304 Accurate Passes 332
80.6% Pass Accuracy 79.4%
23 Tackles 25
16 Interceptions 12
2 Expected Goals (xG) 2
Shot Map

Botafogo

Save — 0.02 xG, 15'Block — 0.06 xG, 16'Miss — 0.09 xG, 27'Miss — 0.05 xG, 34'Goal — 0.54 xG, 41'Save — 0.02 xG, 45'Save — 0.02 xG, 47'Save — 0.02 xG, 53'Miss — 0.10 xG, 53'Block — 0.04 xG, 62'Block — 0.02 xG, 62'Miss — 0.68 xG, 62'Block — 0.01 xG, 66'Block — 0.02 xG, 68'Save — 0.18 xG, 80'Block — 0.02 xG, 80'Goal — 0.98 xG, 90'

Santos

Save — 0.04 xG, 8'Block — 0.08 xG, 13'Block — 0.08 xG, 13'Block — 0.03 xG, 23'Save — 0.30 xG, 24'Block — 0.01 xG, 28'Miss — 0.02 xG, 30'Miss — 0.06 xG, 37'Save — 0.03 xG, 45'Save — 0.04 xG, 50'Miss — 0.55 xG, 50'Miss — 0.07 xG, 52'Block — 0.06 xG, 56'Goal — 0.04 xG, 57'Save — 0.11 xG, 77'Save — 0.03 xG, 79'Block — 0.03 xG, 87'Save — 0.05 xG, 88'Save — 0.33 xG, 88'Miss — 0.58 xG, 88'Block — 0.20 xG, 88'Miss — 0.08 xG, 89'
Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG
Highlights
Lineups Confirmed

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 78.6%
Botafogo Win46.3%
Draw28.6%
Santos Win25.2%
BTTS: Yes70.7%
Over 2.578.6%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 78.6%. Botafogo have 1 win in their last 5 matches. Santos have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score2 - 1
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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →
2
Botafogo Wins
3
Draws
0
Santos Wins
5 meetings • Goals: 8 - 6
Date Home Score Away Competition
16 Jul 2026 W 2 - 1 L Brasileirão Serie A
26 Oct 2025 D 2 - 2 D Brasileirão Serie A
01 Jun 2025 W 1 - 0 L Brasileirão Serie A
26 Nov 2023 D 1 - 1 D Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2023 D 2 - 2 D Brasileirão Serie A
Injuries and Suspensions Premium

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