Bundesliga • regular-season

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

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1. FSV Mainz 05

Away

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Sun 6 Sep, 2026

Prediction correct

Match Recap

Mainz thrash Hamburg with five-goal away display

1. FSV Mainz 05 won 0-5 away at Hamburger SV in a dominant performance that left the hosts without an answer.

Read the full recap

Match Events

19' 1. FSV Mainz 05 S. Becker (K. Sano)

31' 1. FSV Mainz 05 A. Caci

36' Z. E. Ouahdi Hamburger SV

41' 1. FSV Mainz 05 P. Mwene (S. Becker)

46' J. Torunarigha → S. Nandja Hamburger SV

46' M. Adeline → P. Daka Hamburger SV

46' B. Nadir → F. Vieira Hamburger SV

48' 1. FSV Mainz 05 P. Tietz (S. Becker)

64' T. Moffi → O. Stange Hamburger SV

68' 1. FSV Mainz 05 S. Becker → R. Y. Königsdörffer

81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 A. Caci → D. Costa

83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 P. Tietz (J. Lee)

84' D. M. Wolfe → L. Lemke Hamburger SV

85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 P. Mwene

88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 K. Sano → L. Maloney

88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 J. Lee → O. Ruoppi

88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 S. Posch → R. Nakuzola

90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 R. Y. Königsdörffer (P. Mwene)

90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 S. Becker

Match Statistics

Hamburger SV 1. FSV Mainz 05

55% Possession 45%

8 Total Shots 17

1 Shots on Target 8

2 Shots off Target 7

3 Shots Inside Box 14

5 Shots Outside Box 3

0 Big Chances 5

4 Corner Kicks 5

14 Fouls 19

2 Offsides 1

1 Yellow Cards 3

421 Passes 350

347 Accurate Passes 269

82.4% Pass Accuracy 76.9%

14 Tackles 12

8 Interceptions 12

0 Expected Goals (xG) 2

Shot Map

Hamburger SV

1. FSV Mainz 05

Goal Saved Blocked Missed • Circle size = xG

Highlights

Full Match Highlights

Hamburger SV 0-5 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Full Highlights

Lineups Confirmed

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

1D. Fernandes 24N. Capaldo 33S. Bornauw 23J. Torunarigha 7Z. E. Ouahdi 21N. Remberg 6A. Sambi Lokonga 37L. Lemke 20F. Vieira 11A. Grønbæk 27P. Daka

1. FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2

Starting XI

27R. Zentner 21D. Costa 3F. Gruber 48K. Potulski 19A. Caci 7J. Lee 6K. Sano 10N. Amiri 2P. Mwene 23S. Becker 9P. Tietz

This prediction is generated from recent form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and attacking and defensive strength. It is statistical analysis, not betting advice.

Match Prediction Prediction: Over 2.5 - 63.4%

Hamburger SV Win26.8%

Draw27.4%

1. FSV Mainz 05 Win45.8%

BTTS: Yes61.4%

Over 2.563.4%

The model leans toward Over 2.5 at 63.4%. Hamburger SV have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. FSV Mainz 05 have 1 win in their last 5 matches. The numbers also lean toward both teams scoring.

Predicted Score1 - 2

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Head to Head Last 5 • See 10 →

Hamburger SV Wins

Draws

1. FSV Mainz 05 Wins

5 meetings • Goals: 7 - 9

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
06 Sep 2026	L	0 - 5	W	Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026	D	1 - 1	D	Bundesliga
05 Oct 2025	W	4 - 0	L	Bundesliga
03 Mar 2018	D	0 - 0	D	Bundesliga
14 Oct 2017	L	2 - 3	W	Bundesliga

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